It will be interesting to see what transpires over the course of the next two years, and what the results will be for the mid-term elections. As Ace’s “unprecedented” post mentioned, the pendulum does tend to swing a bit.
Right now, there’s a lot of Republicans wondering if they should shift politically to the left. But if the national situation does deteriorate under leftist government, that will be an electorally untenable position. And it will be the champions of the right that can succeed, while those who shifted to the left will be discredited.
I’m not particularly optimistic about the future right now, but I’m not quite ready to throw in the towel.
We face enormous challenges, and have the potential to destroy our republic. But I’ll just say that as bad as things appear from our perspective, I think they are less calamitous than various times in the past. The obvious era was the Civil War. Less obvious, the upheaval of the 1960s. As bad as it has been, there hasn’t been a heck of a lot of rioting these days (though L.A. is overdue for its generational riots). Further, we despise FDR for his socialistic policies and institution of the welfare state upon us, but we have to remember, at that time, liberal democracy worldwide was widely considered discredited, and capitalism a crime. The impulse for either a communist or fascist style of governance was far stronger than we today realize. Communism in Russia, Fascism in Italy,and National Socialism in Germany all came to power via a minority, but with the acquiescence of the majority. To some extent, I’m sympathetic to the argument that FDR gave us just enough socialism. That is, just enough to stave off massive civil unrest.
We’ve certainly, as a nation, made poor choices in our governance the last few years. And I don’t see any potential for a seismic shift in what the electorate will tolerate in terms of reform, especially in terms of “entitlements” that is, the wealth transfer payments virtually every American has come to accept as their due, even, all but the most extreme conservatives (how many of YOU are not only willing, but demand to decline Social Security payments, or Medicare in your dotage?).
So on the strategic level, if you will, the underlying problems are still there. But at the tactical and operational level, who knows what changes the electorate will demand. They may be less willing to follow the Democrat agenda over the cliff than they first appear.