Thoughts on the Electorate


It will be interesting to see what transpires over the course of the next two years, and what the results will be for the mid-term elections. As Ace’s “unprecedented” post mentioned, the pendulum does tend to swing a bit.

Right now, there’s a lot of Republicans wondering if they should shift politically to the left. But if the national situation does deteriorate under leftist government, that will be an electorally untenable position. And it will be the champions of the right that can succeed, while those who shifted to the left will be discredited.

I’m not particularly optimistic about the future right now, but I’m not quite ready to throw in the towel.

We face enormous challenges, and have the potential to destroy our republic. But I’ll just say that as bad as things appear from our perspective, I think they are less calamitous than various times in the past. The obvious era was the Civil War. Less obvious, the upheaval of the 1960s. As bad as it has been, there hasn’t been a heck of a lot of rioting these days (though L.A. is overdue for its generational riots). Further, we despise FDR for his socialistic policies and institution of the welfare state upon us, but we have to remember, at that time, liberal democracy worldwide was widely considered discredited, and capitalism a crime. The impulse for either a communist or fascist style of governance was far stronger than we today realize.  Communism in Russia, Fascism in Italy,and National Socialism in Germany all came to power via a minority, but with the acquiescence of the majority. To some extent, I’m sympathetic to the argument that FDR gave us just enough socialism. That is, just enough to stave off massive civil unrest.

We’ve certainly, as a nation, made poor choices in our governance the last few years. And I don’t see any potential for a seismic shift in what the electorate will tolerate in terms of reform, especially in terms of “entitlements” that is, the wealth transfer payments virtually every American has come to accept as their due, even, all but the most extreme conservatives (how many of YOU are not only willing, but demand to decline Social Security payments, or Medicare in your dotage?).

So on the strategic level, if you will, the underlying problems are still there. But at the tactical and operational level, who knows what changes the electorate will demand. They may be less willing to follow the Democrat agenda over the cliff than they first appear.

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9 Comments

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9 responses to “Thoughts on the Electorate

  1. Decline Social Security payments? No, I’ve paid into it. To rely on Social Security being there by the time I retire would be stupid.

    • I’m preaching to the choir here to some degree, but let me expound a bit.

      You have paid into it, sure. But you aren’t paying into it for your benefit. Social Security is a Ponzi scheme in the most classic sense, and any private citizen or entity that attempted to structure an investment plan along its lines would quickly wind up in Federal Pound Me In The Ass Prison.
      hg
      Social Security is a wealth transfer program, and of the most perverse sort. It takes wealth from the current generation of workers, and gives it to the previous, now retired generation, which on whole is far more financially endowed than the current working generation. It is a disincentive to savings and investment, and yet generates poorer returns on investment.

      And while you can say you paid into it, in fact, legal fictions aside, it is just another tax. If one is committed to the proposition that taxation exists to fund those essential, constitutional government functions, it stands to reason that one also insists that taxation does not exist to transfer wealth, or even under the kindest possible interpretation, act as the trustee for ones own fiscal health.

      I would like to think that I would be principled enough to not accept such graft, but the truth is, we’ll never know, as Social Security as we know it won’t be around to pay for me.

    • Like you said, it won’t be around for us. I’m trying to get the mindset of I’m paying my dad (or ChrisP), it’s just taking a roundabout path.

  2. Kids,
    I paid into SS for a LONG fuckin’ time. I’m gonna take out of it what I paid in. I also have my “corporate” retirement, such as it is.
    I’ve not worked since I got busted-up, and will probably never work again.
    I’ll be dead soon, it won’t cost much.

  3. Jeff Gauch

    Nobody has paid into SS. We’ve all paid SS tax, which – as Xbrad pointed out – is spent on current recipients. There’s nothing to get back.

    The way I see it, our biggest weakness is our lack of control in the media. Without media outlets we couldn’t keep Fast and Furious, the terrible economic conditions, Benghazi, and the Sandy response failures in the mind of the electorate. Never mind the Ayers/Wright connections and “Spread the wealth around” from 2008. We have ceded to the media the ability to build a Potemkin President. We need to open this front. Fox News doesn’t cut it. It’s too easy for the Left to paint it as a propaganda arm. Blogs aren’t enough either, most people have no idea they even exist. We need to start putting up ads that explain/pique interest in fundamental properties of the economics and direct people to websites for more depth and refutation of the lies in big media. We also need to target minorities. Not by shifting our platform to sppease them, but by targetting our message to them in a manner they are willing and able to accept. We have two years, and we’re going to need every minute of it.

    As for the House, I think they need to do a few things:

    1) Keep sequestration. It’s a horrible, terrible, no-good deal, but it’s what the people voted for in 2010 and 2012. Make sure we pin all the pain on the Democrats on the supercommittee who negotiated in bad faith.

    2) Hold the line on tax policy. Refuse to pass any law that raises the taxes on one bracket. If the Bush tax cuts expire for the wealthy, they expire for everyone. If the middle class gets a tax cut, so do the rich. Our tax code is already too progressive. Get Romney’s limit on deductions, it’s a good way to start reducing the economic distortion of the tax code.

    3) Keep the debt ceiling where it is. This is the key. Conservatives can accomplish thier number one priority – balancing the budget – simply by doing nothing! We just need to be prepared to point out two things. First, SS checks are funded in part by selling gov’t bonds, which reduce the debt below the ceiling and allow Treasury to issue more debt to cover the checks, there’s no reason for SS or Medicare to be affected. Second, it’s the Executive Branch that decides what gets cut, so if you have a problem talk to the mendacious socialist you just re-elected.

  4. The parasite caucus won this one. If idiots like John Boner or Lindsey Graham get their way, there will be more parasites come in after we get comprehensive immigration “reform.”

  5. I have to say I now regret voting for Mr. Boehner in the past. BUT I can fix that later on…

  6. apache

    The republican party will never win another election above state level. Republican’s cannot match the hacking of computers nor the sheer underhandedness of voter fraud.
    Boehner is the last republican to hold any kind of office in DC
    I bet next election cycle republican’s won’t get a single vote for any spot in government, the party is about to become the court jester and be pulled out and used for the two minute democrat hate.
    The US has a single party system and is no longer a constitutional Republic.
    And on changing their ideals over to democrat ideals? You don’t win by adopting your enemies ideals you simply become common democrats.

  7. Mark Dunlap SFC Rigger (Ret).

    It is my considered opinion that the “upheavel of the 60’s” is the socialistic grandparent of socialistic grandkids of today that are trying (and arguably succeeding) to push their social agenda on “dying off” segments of society in this country. If they wait, we’ll die off and they can just have f _ _ _ing at it. Personally, I hold little to no hope for they believe we all just need to “love” and give to each other and it’ll all be good…..now I want whatever they are smokin’ for that’s got to be some good stuff.